Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 212.873432 248.844436 290.730234 343.526617 408.892635 487.947539 591.993469
2025-07-27 165.138895 209.322856 266.432620 347.211789 461.127007 620.183208 866.870281
2025-08-03 140.580526 188.286170 254.579814 356.483545 514.999082 762.969015 1204.379341
2025-08-10 121.800798 169.991187 240.739973 356.790489 552.183002 888.428521 1564.371536
2025-08-17 109.042295 157.561865 232.212511 361.815010 596.111219 1036.692003 2033.683919
2025-08-24 97.839277 145.464867 221.647143 360.423346 627.282897 1170.567910 2543.927458
2025-08-31 89.020999 135.727010 213.070809 360.235651 659.878024 1317.845481 3174.528035
2025-09-07 82.734504 129.190995 208.713600 366.574334 706.780852 1513.855576 4074.802300
2025-09-14 74.198673 117.795146 194.167456 350.388531 701.120516 1582.019367 4640.607771
2025-09-21 69.030053 111.628719 188.212474 350.287897 731.744269 1756.526638 5729.661280
2025-09-28 64.911841 106.848692 184.159869 353.330735 770.694675 1971.932520 7211.626359
2025-10-05 63.666651 107.113684 189.741771 378.302889 872.485828 2430.329297 10436.403570
2025-10-12 62.117168 107.076297 195.617809 407.589921 1003.769374 3102.259112 16448.118372
2025-10-19 58.297293 102.317444 191.300820 412.222635 1068.603832 3593.611431 22909.637673
2025-10-26 55.460984 99.144160 189.844753 423.728870 1160.366616 4285.054842 34034.296146
2025-11-02 52.103021 94.533290 184.572176 424.110174 1216.429820 4874.845310 47632.954675
2025-11-09 49.499699 91.188198 181.665303 430.350825 1296.964573 5689.625929 71243.216787
2025-11-16 46.651387 87.032815 176.331600 428.621842 1348.029281 6409.670462 102026.266459
2025-11-23 44.170943 83.419374 171.811504 428.388680 1406.203545 7267.898185 151622.758212
2025-11-30 42.360966 81.082834 170.063969 436.266550 1503.627460 8574.798558 254623.416491
2025-12-07 39.262998 75.633945 160.019668 416.165814 1468.957423 8801.753636 317230.591758
2025-12-14 37.427073 72.856178 156.367950 416.040997 1528.651112 9975.498160 517782.580620
2025-12-21 35.920391 70.691156 154.021562 419.815887 1610.689020 11559.150930 951425.836669